VINAGRI News - Coffee prices across Vietnam’s Central Highlands remained unchanged on October 1, maintaining a range of VND 114,800 - 115,900 per kilogram.
At the close of trading on September 30, London ICE Robusta coffee futures saw a slight rebound. The November 2025 contract rose 0.33% (+14 USD) to 4,200 USD/ton, while the January 2026 contract edged up 0.29% (+12 USD) to 4,186 USD/ton.
Converted to Vietnamese currency, the November 2025 Robusta contract now trades at approximately VND 111,000/kg, based on today’s exchange rate of 1 USD = VND 26,427.
Meanwhile, domestic Robusta prices remain higher, with the Central Highlands average at VND 115,900/kg, equivalent to USD 4.39/kg. This places domestic prices about VND 4,900/kg (roughly USD 185/ton) above London’s November 2025 futures.
According to the Import-Export Department under Vietnam’s Ministry of Industry and Trade, coffee exports in September 2025 are estimated at 84,000 tons, valued at USD 477 million - marking the final trading month of the 2024/2025 crop year.
For the entire season, Vietnam exported USD 8.437 billion worth of coffee, surpassing last season’s record of USD 5.43 billion by nearly USD 3 billion. Export volume reached 1.518 million tons, up 58,000 tons from the previous year.
Record-high prices throughout the season were the key driver behind the surge in export value. In February 2025, London Robusta futures briefly exceeded USD 5,800/ton.
In the first eight months of 2025, the average Robusta export price stood at USD 5,170/ton, while Arabica averaged USD 6,633/ton.
Outlook for London robusta prices - October 1, 2025
Certified Robusta inventories on the London ICE exchange continue to decline. According to the International Coffee Organization (ICO), certified stocks in August fell 4.6% from July.
Meanwhile, recovering demand from major importing regions - particularly Europe and Asia - is expected to support prices, especially toward the end of the month.
Technical indicators also suggest bullish momentum if prices break through key resistance levels. Many market reports note that London Robusta is in a “consolidate-to-the-upside” pattern, reflecting expectations that global inventories will take time to rebuild.
Given these factors, Robusta prices on the London exchange are projected to move sideways with a bullish bias, provided no sudden bearish developments occur.
November 2025 contract: expected to range between USD 4,180 - 4,260/ton
January 2026 contract: expected to fluctuate between USD 4,210 - 4,300/ton
NPK/ Vinagri News
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