VINAGRI News - Global Robusta coffee prices edged up slightly on Friday as ICE-monitored inventories declined, while improved weather forecasts in Brazil and Vietnam eased production concerns.
Summary:
> London Robusta Nov 2025: up 0.37% to USD 4,571/ton.
> Vietnam domestic price: VND 115,000 - 116,300/kg, up VND 800 - 900.
> Brazil rainfall expected to reduce drought worries.
> Vietnam 2025/2026 output may rise 10% YoY, according to Vicofa.
> ICE stocks at multi-month lows amid U.S. tariff pressure on Brazil.
At the close of trading on Friday, October 24, London ICE Robusta coffee futures moved slightly higher. The November 2025 contract rose by 0.37% (+USD 17) to USD 4,571 per tonne, while the January 2026 contract increased by 0.80% (+USD 36) to USD 4,557 per tonne.
Converted into Vietnamese dong, the November 2025 Robusta contract stood at approximately VND 120,200 per kilogram, based on the current exchange rate of USD 1 = VND 26,305.
In the Vietnamese domestic market, coffee prices in the Central Highlands increased slightly on October 25, rising by VND 800 - 900 per kilogram to reach VND 115,000 - 116,300 per kilogram. With an average of VND 116,000 per kilogram, domestic Robusta coffee remains about VND 4,200/kg (USD 160/tonne) lower than the November 2025 London futures price.
Coffee prices on the New York and London exchanges closed mixed on Friday as the markets were influenced by global weather patterns and supply dynamics.
According to Climatempo, Brazil’s key coffee-growing regions are expected to receive rainfall over the weekend, easing concerns about prolonged drought that had previously supported prices. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting reported that the risk of heavy rains from Typhoon Fengshen in the Central Highlands has diminished, reducing potential damage to the Robusta crop.
Despite these developments, Robusta prices saw modest gains due to technical buying, even as the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa) projected that Vietnam’s 2025/2026 coffee output could increase by 10% year-on-year if favorable weather continues.
Prices also found partial support from the sharp decline in ICE-monitored inventories. The U.S. 50% import tariff on Brazilian products has led to a drawdown in Arabica coffee stocks, which fell to a 1.5-year low of 447,773 bags, while Robusta inventories dropped to a three-month low of 6,130 lots.
NPK/ Vinagri News
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