Vietnam begins coffee harvest under adverse weather onditions

VINAGRI News - Central Highlands, Vietnam - The world’s second-largest coffee exporter has officially started its 2025 - 2026 coffee harvest, but unpredictable and unfavorable weather is raising concerns about potential impacts on yield and bean quality.

Coffee harvest in the Central Highlands during the previous crop year. Photo: Lao Động Newspaper.

🔹Summary:

- Harvest season: 2025 - 2026 coffee harvest officially begins in Vietnam, the world’s second-largest exporter.

- Weather impact: Heavy and prolonged rains in the Central Highlands due to Typhoon Bualoi and a new tropical depression disrupt harvesting and drying.

- Production outlook: Output forecast at 1.74 million tons, but uneven weather may reduce yields in some areas.

- Market reaction: Domestic Robusta prices rise to VND 117,000 - 118,000/kg, while London futures jump nearly 5% to USD 4,403/ton, driven by supply concerns.

- Expert view: Excessive rainfall during harvest could reduce high-quality supply, pushing prices higher in the short term amid record-low certified inventories on ICE.

Key coffee-growing provinces such as Đắk Lắk, Gia Lai, and Lâm Đồng are facing prolonged heavy rains caused by Typhoon Bualoi and a newly formed tropical depression in the East Sea. The adverse weather is disrupting harvesting operations, slowing down drying processes, and increasing the risk of fungal diseases.

“Continuous rains have interrupted picking and drying. If this persists, harvesting and processing costs will rise sharply,” said a coffee farmer in Đắk Lắk.

Despite expectations that the 2025 - 2026 crop could reach 1.74 million tons -supported by stable acreage and greater investment in cultivation - prolonged wet conditions could lower productivity in certain regions.

On the market, domestic Robusta prices have surged to VND 117,000 - 118,000 per kilogram, reflecting short-term supply concerns. Meanwhile, November 2025 Robusta futures on the London exchange gained nearly 5%, closing at USD 4,403 per ton, the highest level in weeks.

Analysts warn that persistent rainfall during the crucial harvest phase could reduce the supply of high-quality beans, adding upward pressure on prices, especially as ICE-certified inventories remain at historic lows.

NPK/ Vinagri News