VINAGRI News - Vietnam’s coffee exports exceeded $1 billion in January 2026, marking a strong start to the year for the sector. Export volume reached 224,300 metric tons, valued at $1.08 billion, posting sharp increases both month-on-month and year-on-year. However, global coffee prices are trending lower due to improved supply prospects, fund selling, and a stronger U.S. dollar.
Summary:
> January 2026 coffee exports reached 224,300 tons, worth $1.08 billion.
> Exports rose 22.6% in volume and 14.1% in value compared to December 2025.
> Year-on-year, exports increased 56.4% in volume and 39.5% in value.
> This marks only the second time monthly coffee exports have exceeded $1 billion.
> Global coffee prices are under pressure from improved supply outlook and fund selling.
> Brazil’s 2026 - 2027 crop forecast at 66.2 million bags, up 17.1% year-on-year.
> Rising exports from Vietnam and Indonesia add to international price pressure.
> Stronger U.S. dollar reduces attractiveness of dollar-denominated agricultural commodities.
Vietnam’s coffee exports recorded a significant milestone in the first month of 2026, surpassing $1 billion and providing a positive start for the industry this year.
According to the Vietnam Customs Department, coffee exports in January 2026 totaled 224,300 metric tons, valued at $1.08 billion. The figure represents a 22.6% increase in volume and a 14.1% rise in value compared to December 2025. On a year-on-year basis, exports surged 56.4% in volume and 39.5% in value compared to January 2025.
This is only the second time Vietnam’s monthly coffee exports have exceeded the $1 billion mark. Nearly one year earlier, in March 2025, exports surpassed $1 billion for the first time, reaching 181,100 tons valued at $1.06 billion.
The Import-Export Department under the Ministry of Industry and Trade noted that achieving $1.08 billion in January exports signals a promising start for Vietnam’s coffee sector in 2026, reflecting sustained strong demand from international markets.
However, despite the robust export performance, coffee prices have recently shown a downward trend. On February 25, domestic coffee prices in Vietnam’s Central Highlands hovered around VND 96,000 per kilogram.
The Import-Export Department explained that global coffee prices have declined sharply due to a combination of supply-demand dynamics and cautious investor sentiment. After a prolonged period of high prices, investment funds intensified selling activities, creating short-term downward pressure.
Improving global supply prospects have also weighed on prices. According to Companhia Nacional de Abastecimento (Conab), the country’s total coffee output for the 2026 - 2027 crop year is forecast at 66.2 million bags, up 17.1% compared to the 2025 - 2026 season, supported by more favorable weather conditions.
Meanwhile, stronger export activity from major suppliers such as Vietnam and Indonesia has added further pressure to international prices.
In addition, exchange rate fluctuations and global monetary policy developments remain key influencing factors. A stronger U.S. dollar makes dollar-denominated agricultural commodities, including coffee, less attractive to importing markets, thereby dampening demand in the futures market.
NPK/ Vinagri News
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